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In the end, what does that mean? Are we just going to say that drugs that have been approved by the EMA are safe to sell here?

Well, we might well do that. And Hannan would be happy with that, according to his book. The net result of the changes is that the EMA has gone off somewhere else, our drugs are still approved by the EMA—except that we no longer have any vote or voice or influence on how the EMA is run, or what procedures it follows.

And AstraZeneca and other pharmaceutical companies want regulatory approval. They might not like what the regulators do but they need regulators.

What about his argument about Volkswagen and the emissions scandal, that it was successful EU lobbying from the German car company that made everyone turn to diesel, with disastrous results for our air quality?

It was clearly an appalling outcome and reflects very badly on VW and very badly on European regulators. Certainly, it was the UK political process that was responsible for the tax privileges that diesel has had in the UK.

Will we do better if we do this sort of thing in the UK? What is certain, though, is that just as with pharmaceuticals, the thing that will change is that decisions will be made without our input.

Alternatively, we could have emissions standards made in the UK. In that case, are we going to stop exporting cars to the rest of Europe? One of the key things that comes out of the book is that Hannan—and many others in the UK—never wanted to be part of this political union, this ever closer integration of the EU.

It clearly is the case that there is a much larger political constituency in this country against deep political integration and for detachment than there is in any other member state in the EU.

And there clearly is a good argument for saying that both we and the rest of Europe would have been much better off if we had been able to come to some sort of arrangement that had a large degree of economic integration without the degree of political integration.

It is interesting and, to be fair to Dan Hannan and some of the people on his side of the Brexit camp, that was what they were arguing for before the vote.

Things have changed rather now. Currently, the government is pursuing a type of Brexit which does not envisage that degree of economic integration and people like Mr Hannan have largely gone along with that.

There does not seem to be much of a contingent calling, for example, for us to remain in the European Economic Area.

This is Brexit Beckons: Thinking Ahead by Leading Economists , which includes 19 essays by different economists.

In the introduction, the editor, Richard Baldwin, notes that, in terms of the future, the alternative that seems most sensible for the UK, from an economic perspective, is the Norway option.

Indeed and, going back to what we were just saying, there were some people on the Brexit side who before and immediately after the vote were advocating some form of the Norway option.

As Richard says, most economists think that the Norway option would be optimal. Norway cannot set its own immigration policy with respect to citizens from other EU and EEA countries.

Are there any articles in there that you particularly want to highlight as illustrating something important about Brexit? There are some interesting ones on what caused the Leave vote, from an economic perspective.

To what extent was it immigration? To what extent was it economic decline? She is very much a believer that technological and globalisation have, on the whole, improved our economic outcomes.

But she also feels—very strongly—that the policy response, in the 80s and 90s, to deindustrialisation in the parts of the UK that were left behind by globalisation, was very badly lacking.

Richard Baldwin is also a very eminent trade economist. Their moment has now come. Trade economics is back in fashion. The important thing that comes from looking at all their chapters together is the extent to which free trade is not just about abolishing tariffs.

There are a number of different aspects to that. First of all, even trade in goods is much more influenced by regulation than it used to be. Cars are the classic example.

Parts shuffle back and forth across borders before being assembled. Regulation matters a lot: We have emissions standards, safety standards, and all the rest of it.

Then, when you get to trade in services and movement of capital, and the role of the City, things get even more complicated. Just the sheer complexity of the issues that are involved both in reshaping our trade relationship with the EU, and in working out what our relationships with other countries in the future will be, is just fascinating.

And getting all sorts of people up to speed on these complexities is going to be expensive. This is a blog post by Dominic Cummings , who was the campaign director of Vote Leave.

What I really like about this is that, in contrast to Dan Hannan, Dominic is very frank and honest. What does that even mean?

Is that going to work? And I do think that there was a contrast with the Remain campaign which was very old-fashioned and did not apply this sort of rigour in analysis that Dominic and his team did.

Having read the blog post, his overall conclusion seems to be that there were two things that won it for them. Those seemed to be two tactics he is particularly proud of.

Yes, the other side is that Dominic is pretty cynical and ruthless about his approach to campaigning. Everyone knows that and I think pretty much everyone on both sides will admit it, at least privately.

With Farage, Dominic was quite ruthless. But politics is a ruthless business. By and large, I find that convincing.

That was Dominic and he was right. So, I think he has a pretty good case to make. He seems to have read a few behavioural economics books —or looked at that type of psychological study.

Again, I think one of the impressive things about Dominic—whether or not you agree with his objectives—is that he takes proper scientific evidence in the social sciences seriously and tries to apply it.

Again, I think this was in contrast to the Remain campaign, which was a much more traditional election campaign by PR professionals and special advisors.

Book number 4 on your list is Brexit: So, tell me, why did Britain vote to leave the EU? This is written by my friend and colleague Matthew Goodwin and co-authors.

Matt is an expert on the rise of UKIP. The underlying cause is this sense that people felt left behind by rapid economic change and adrift from the global economy or the modern economy of London and the southeast.

In terms of voting for Leave, distance from London was a factor, communities which had lower skill levels was a factor, and people who were older.

There was this combination of economic and social disconnection from the global economy in some areas, and the perceived contrast with London and other more prosperous areas like Oxford and Cambridge, York, and so on, that appeared to be doing relatively well.

But in lots of other areas that was not the case. These are places that have been economically depressed since the deindustrialisation and decline of the manufacturing industry in the s and s, i.

It relates not just to the social impact of immigration but also of deindustrialisation, trade, technological progress, and so on. There is, but it came on top of these broader and more well-established economic drivers.

Immigration, for some people, has become a symbol of something that was there already—the fact that some communities were being left behind, the fact that people with lower skills or qualifications are relatively very disadvantaged in the UK labour market.

Now, the fact that there has been a recent arrival of quite large numbers of people from Europe who are more skilled and better qualified and yet willing to work in low skilled jobs for relatively low wages has provided a visible focus and intensification for those feelings.

Which means, I suppose, that the EU is a kind of scapegoat for problems that were already there and Brexit a huge distraction from dealing with the underlying issues.

The EU has not messed up our housing market, we did that for ourselves. As well as people being more likely to vote Leave if they were poorer, or lived in areas that were left behind, people were also much more likely to vote Leave if they had socially conservative attitudes—including on issues that have nothing to do with Brexit, like gay marriage and the death penalty.

So there is this sense that a vote for Brexit was a reaction against a trend of social liberalism in the country as a whole which is, again, associated with the EU but of which the EU is not really the main driver.

And yet, views on these things were very strongly correlated with how people voted on Brexit. This ties in with a much wider social science literature which people are also looking at in the context of Trump.

Social scientists—like the authors of the book but also authors on the other side of the Atlantic—are looking at this divide between an authoritarian view of the world and a liberal one.

But there is clearly this dichotomy that is not based on purely economic grounds but is also about social attitudes.

Share your thoughts with other customers. Write a customer review. See all customer images. Read reviews that mention tim shipman behind the scenes dominic cummings well written key players sunday times david cameron michael gove highly recommended craig oliver george osborne british politics comes across remain campaign political class jeremy corbyn theresa may want to understand arron banks referendum campaign.

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Kindle Edition Verified Purchase. If you want to understand how Brexit happened and TM became PM, then this book is the one to read, a well written, informative, impartial page turner.

A strong believer in Brexit, the author is knowledgeable and he writes well. I will not give away the nuances of the book. I will however just say that if anybody is interested in Brexit and there are many who are both for and against then I recommend both sides of the debate read this book.

Seriously, some of you liked this book? I have reached chapter 6, not far I suppose and others will say it will get better but so much jumping about and all about the creation of the Remain argument, not much yet and I have to expect very little of the Leave side of the argument but The book seems to illustrate very well that a fine education does not always mean the result is someone with a degree of common sense and an understanding of how people feel and react when faced with an unanswerable question, when the people asking have not only not thought it through, but have no answer anyway.

I have bought the next book in the hope of understanding more about the issue, if that is possible. A great journalistic read. Very good campaigners and the Tories and the Labour mob.

Shipman gets the class system and the terrible mistake of Brexit. The most unappealing people are Corbyn and his poly Marxist of s. But this one is the best to read.

Michael Gove is by far the unstupid politician in Britain. I cannot recall a single meeting - apart the crooks quite well describe and the revolutionists.

What will be happen this country? A must read for anyone interested in Brexit. Written by an insider who understands the nuances of the Conservative Party.

This book should have been given to all who did not know which way to vote in the EU vote. See all reviews.

Would you like to see more reviews about this item? Pages with related products. See and discover other items: Unlimited One-Day Delivery and more. Learn more about Amazon Prime.

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Write a customer review. See all customer images. Read reviews that mention tim shipman behind the scenes dominic cummings well written key players sunday times david cameron michael gove highly recommended craig oliver george osborne british politics comes across remain campaign political class jeremy corbyn theresa may want to understand arron banks referendum campaign.

Showing of reviews. Top Reviews Most recent Top Reviews. There was a problem filtering reviews right now. Please try again later.

Kindle Edition Verified Purchase. If you want to understand how Brexit happened and TM became PM, then this book is the one to read, a well written, informative, impartial page turner.

A strong believer in Brexit, the author is knowledgeable and he writes well. I will not give away the nuances of the book. I will however just say that if anybody is interested in Brexit and there are many who are both for and against then I recommend both sides of the debate read this book.

Seriously, some of you liked this book? I have reached chapter 6, not far I suppose and others will say it will get better but so much jumping about and all about the creation of the Remain argument, not much yet and I have to expect very little of the Leave side of the argument but The book seems to illustrate very well that a fine education does not always mean the result is someone with a degree of common sense and an understanding of how people feel and react when faced with an unanswerable question, when the people asking have not only not thought it through, but have no answer anyway.

I have bought the next book in the hope of understanding more about the issue, if that is possible. A great journalistic read.

Very good campaigners and the Tories and the Labour mob. Shipman gets the class system and the terrible mistake of Brexit. The most unappealing people are Corbyn and his poly Marxist of s.

But this one is the best to read. Michael Gove is by far the unstupid politician in Britain. I cannot recall a single meeting - apart the crooks quite well describe and the revolutionists.

What will be happen this country? A must read for anyone interested in Brexit. Written by an insider who understands the nuances of the Conservative Party.

This book should have been given to all who did not know which way to vote in the EU vote. See all reviews. Would you like to see more reviews about this item?

Pages with related products. See and discover other items: Unlimited One-Day Delivery and more. Learn more about Amazon Prime. Get to Know Us.

Amazon Music Stream millions of songs. Shopbop Designer Fashion Brands. Typically long and complex to negotiate, an FTA is an agreement between at least two countries to cooperate on reducing trade barriers such as import quotas and tariffs so as to increase the trade of goods and sometimes services between them.

The term does not appear in the withdrawal agreement. A piece of legislation that will transpose, at a stroke, all existing EU legislation affecting Britain into domestic UK law to avoid a legal black hole and prevent disruption the day after Britain leaves.

It would mean a return of trade tariffs, depending on what, if any FTA was agreed. Models previously floated by the UK to facilitate its future customs relationship with the EU.

Both were rejected by the EU and have since been superseded by the FCA see above , which the bloc has also said is unlikely work but is willing to explore.

No deal implies slamming the door on the article 50 talks, which would make the prospect of a future FTA extremely remote. The chaos that would ensue is difficult to exaggerate.

This would see the UK out of the EU and customs union so able to negotiate independent free trade agreements with third countries but with enhanced access to the single market and selected EU programmes.

But it would entail continued financial payments and acceptance of the core principles and legislation of the single market, with no participation in EU decision-making, so is seen by Brexiters as a betrayal of the referendum vote.

A non-binding document setting out the aspirations of both sides for the talks to decide the future trading relationship, which are due to begin once the UK has left on 29 March.

It aims to remove not just the fiscal barriers to trade tariffs but also the physical and technical barriers borders and divergent product standards by allowing the freest possible movement of goods, capital, services and people.

In essence, it is about treating the EU as a single trading territory. A soft Brexit, which not officially defined, would keep Britain in either the single market or the customs union or both.

Brexiters do not consider a soft Brexit as really leaving the EU. After Brexit, Britain could set its own import tariffs providing they are no higher than its current EU schedule, which might in some circumstances be beneficial.

Trading on WTO terms would also raise big practical and logistical problems around things such as product approval and customs checks.

Help is at hand with our comprehensive jargon buster by Jon Henley. Guardian Fri 23 Nov Acquis communautaire The entire body of European laws: Article 50 The formal mechanism for exiting the EU: Blind Brexit The withdrawal agreement includes a political declaration on the future trading relationship between the two.

Read more Cliff edge The consequence of leaving the EU, its single market and customs union without a future trade deal lined up.

Crashing out see cliff edge and no deal Customs union EU members - plus Turkey, Andorra, Monaco and San Marino - trade without customs duties, taxes or tariffs between themselves, and charge the same tariffs on imports from outside the EU.

Free trade agreement FTA Typically long and complex to negotiate, an FTA is an agreement between at least two countries to cooperate on reducing trade barriers such as import quotas and tariffs so as to increase the trade of goods and sometimes services between them.

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